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Probability and Statistics

GATE CSE 2012 · Q33

MCQ2 marksMedium

Time

Suppose a fair six-sided die is rolled once. If the value on the die is 1, 2, or 3, the die is rolled a second time. What is the probability that the sum total of values that turn up is at least 6?

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Solution

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Official answer: B) 5/12

Probability and Statistics

Let X1X_1 be the outcome of the first roll, with P(X1=k)=16P(X_1 = k) = \frac{1}{6} for k∈{1,2,3,4,5,6}k \in \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}.

  • Case 1: X1∈{4,5,6}X_1 \in \{4, 5, 6\} The die is rolled only once. The total sum is S=X1S = X_1.

    • S≥6S \ge 6 occurs only when X1=6X_1 = 6.

    • P(S≥6∩X1∈{4,5,6})=P(X1=6)=16=636P(S \ge 6 \cap X_1 \in \{4, 5, 6\}) = P(X_1 = 6) = \frac{1}{6} = \frac{6}{36}.

  • Case 2: X1∈{1,2,3}X_1 \in \{1, 2, 3\} The die is rolled a second time. Let X2X_2 be the second roll outcome (X2∈{1,2,3,4,5,6}X_2 \in \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}). The total sum is S=X1+X2S = X_1 + X_2.

    • If X1=1X_1 = 1: S≥6  ⟹  X2≥5  ⟹  X2∈{5,6}S \ge 6 \implies X_2 \ge 5 \implies X_2 \in \{5, 6\} (2 outcomes). Probability = 16×26=236\frac{1}{6} \times \frac{2}{6} = \frac{2}{36}.

    • If X1=2X_1 = 2: S≥6  ⟹  X2≥4  ⟹  X2∈{4,5,6}S \ge 6 \implies X_2 \ge 4 \implies X_2 \in \{4, 5, 6\} (3 outcomes). Probability = 16×36=336\frac{1}{6} \times \frac{3}{6} = \frac{3}{36}.

    • If X1=3X_1 = 3: S≥6  ⟹  X2≥3  ⟹  X2∈{3,4,5,6}S \ge 6 \implies X_2 \ge 3 \implies X_2 \in \{3, 4, 5, 6\} (4 outcomes). Probability = 16×46=436\frac{1}{6} \times \frac{4}{6} = \frac{4}{36}.

Adding all disjoint cases together:

P(S≥6)=636+236+336+436=1536=512P(S \ge 6) = \frac{6}{36} + \frac{2}{36} + \frac{3}{36} + \frac{4}{36} = \frac{15}{36} = \frac{5}{12}

Hence, (B) is the correct option.

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This Probability and Statistics previous year question is Q33 of the GATE CSE 2012 paper. Find more GATE CSE PYQs on Probability and Statistics in Engineering Mathematics, or browse all GATE CSE PYQs.

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GateAI solution cardGATE CSE 2012 · Q33 · MCQ

Suppose a fair six-sided die is rolled once. If the value on the die is 1, 2, or 3, the die is rolled a second time. What is the probability that the sum total of values that turn up is at least 6?

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