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Probability and Statistics

GATE CSE 2017 Set 2 · Q26

MCQ2 marksMedium

Time

P and Q are considering to apply for a job. The probability that P applies for the job is 14\frac{1}{4}, the probability that P applies for the job given that Q applies for the job is 12\frac{1}{2}, and the probability that Q applies for the job given that P applies for the job is 13\frac{1}{3}. Then the probability that P does not apply for the job given that Q does not apply for the job is

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Solution

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Official answer: A) (4)/(5)

Probability and Statistics

Let PP and QQ denote the events that P and Q apply for the job, respectively.

Given:

  • P(P)=14P(P) = \frac{1}{4}

  • P(P∣Q)=12P(P \mid Q) = \frac{1}{2}

  • P(Q∣P)=13P(Q \mid P) = \frac{1}{3}

From conditional probability:

P(P∩Q)=P(Q∣P)⋅P(P)=13×14=112P(P \cap Q) = P(Q \mid P) \cdot P(P) = \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{1}{12}

Using P(P∣Q)=P(P∩Q)P(Q)P(P \mid Q) = \frac{P(P \cap Q)}{P(Q)}:

P(Q)=P(P∩Q)P(P∣Q)=1/121/2=16P(Q) = \frac{P(P \cap Q)}{P(P \mid Q)} = \frac{1/12}{1/2} = \frac{1}{6}

Now, calculate the probability of the union:

P(P∪Q)=P(P)+P(Q)−P(P∩Q)=14+16−112=3+2−112=412=13P(P \cup Q) = P(P) + P(Q) - P(P \cap Q) = \frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{6} - \frac{1}{12} = \frac{3 + 2 - 1}{12} = \frac{4}{12} = \frac{1}{3}

We need to find P(Pc∣Qc)P(P^c \mid Q^c):

P(Pc∣Qc)=P(Pc∩Qc)P(Qc)=1−P(P∪Q)1−P(Q)=1−131−16=2356=23×65=45P(P^c \mid Q^c) = \frac{P(P^c \cap Q^c)}{P(Q^c)} = \frac{1 - P(P \cup Q)}{1 - P(Q)} = \frac{1 - \frac{1}{3}}{1 - \frac{1}{6}} = \frac{\frac{2}{3}}{\frac{5}{6}} = \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{6}{5} = \frac{4}{5}

Therefore, option A is the correct answer.

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This Probability and Statistics previous year question is Q26 of the GATE CSE 2017 Set 2 paper. Find more GATE CSE PYQs on Probability and Statistics in Engineering Mathematics, or browse all GATE CSE PYQs.

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GateAI solution cardGATE CSE 2017 Set 2 · Q26 · MCQ

P and Q are considering to apply for a job. The probability that P applies for the job is (1)/(4), the probability that P applies for the job given that Q applies for the job is (1)/(2), and the probability that Q applies for the job given that P applies for the job is (1)/(3). Then the probability that P does not apply for the job given that Q does not apply for the job is

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Independent practice explanation verified by the GateAI team. GATE is conducted by the IITs; question text follows the official paper.